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Airline Economic Analysis 2012
By Bob Hazel, Tom Stalnaker and Aaron Taylor
Oliver Wyman's Aviation, Aerospace & Defense practie released its annual analysis of leading economic and business indicators in conjunction with the February 2 Raymond James Airline Conference. In the 37 page report, select US carriers are reviewed across a variety of different cost and revenue metrics. This year, further analysis on margin implications was also conducted.
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MRO Industry Landscape 2011: A touch of optimism sprinkled with a dash of caution
By Ken Aso, Tim Hoyland, Chris Spafford and Roger Lehman
Oliver Wyman recently surveyed over 120 airline, airline MRO, independent MRO, and OEM executives to gauge their views of the aviation MRO market. In our global respondent pool, over 74% held Director or higher titles in their organizations.
As economies continue to recover, the maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) industry is stabilizing - though still facing challenges. MROs are operating today against a backdrop of uncertainty in jet fuel prices and the effect fuel price fluctuations could have on aircraft utilization and the active fleet. But against this backdrop, signs of renewed health have appeared on the horizon. Examples include rising capacity utilization and an easing up of headcount reductions in MRO workforces.
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2011 Airline Economic Analysis
By Bob Hazel, Aaron Taylor and Andrew Watterson February 03, 2011
Each year Oliver Wyman prepares an Airline Economic Analysis which is released at the Raymond James Global Airline Conference. In the report, select carriers are reviewed across a variety of different metrics including:
- CASM / RASM comparisons
- Long-term CASM trends
- Stage length adjusted CASM
- CASM comparisons for similar aircraft (narrowbody, widebody and regional jets)
- Fuel prices
- Unit revenue and changes in revenue composition over time
- Ancillary Revenue: Baggage and cancellation fees
- Capacity discipline and its effect on prices
Read the 33 page report >
Also PlaneStats.com created the Airline Performance Comparisons tool to dynamically view statistics of specific carriers including passenger yield, passenger load factor, RASM and CASM data for the current period. Click the icon to the right to start the comparison.
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To Re-engine or Not to Re-engine: That is the Question
By Andrew Watterson, Chris Spafford and Pablo Wangermann October 25, 2010
Operators and owners face a difficult question as a variety of alternative approaches for fleet refreshes become available. These may include existing aircraft, OEMs contemplated re-engined alternatives, and/or newly designed aircraft.
On the surface, making a decision about migrating to a re-engined, new-build aircraft may seem like any fleet strategy decision, but it is much more complex. For example, looking back to existing fuel burn or maintenance cost history isn't definitive, so understanding the possible ranges and probabilities of performance and costs parameters becomes increasingly important to determine if the rewards outweigh the inherent risks to such a complex decision.
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Staring Into the Eye of the Storm
By Mark Robson and Hans-Kristian Bryn August 20, 2010
Jet fuel prices are less volatile today than they were in 2008; but, airlines should not be lulled into a false sense of security. What airlines are experiencing now is the quiet before another storm. Large fuel price swings will return. The only question is when and which airlines will emerge form the turbulence in the strongest postion.
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MRO Industry Landscape 2010: A New Level of Competition Emerges
By Tim Hoyland, Chris Spafford and Roger Lehman June 01, 2010
As airlines recover from the latest economic downturn, the maintenance, repair, and overhal (MRO) industry is slowly starting to show signs of a pending uptick. Many airline customers are forecasting growth later in the year. However, a new competitive arena is developing, and providers will need to rethink their service offerings if they are to compete with market-leading "Mega-MROs".
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A New Tool for Maintenance Organization Design: Workload-driven Resource Forecasting
By Tim Hoyland, Chris Spafford and Roger Lehman June 01, 2010
The maintenance organization must balance airline operational goals with maintenance cost control/reduction, all while maintaining the highest standards of safety and quality. In additon, constantly changing economic and regulatory conditions affect the business, operational, and ultimately, resource requirements of the maintenance organization. These constant change necessitate a strong organization design strategy -- one that uses a methodical, flexible, fact-based, and repeatable approach to determining appropriate organizational requirements.
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The 50-Seat Jet: A Plane With No Future. Think Again!
By Max Kownatzki, Tim Hoyland and Andrew Watterson March 31, 2010
Manufacturers are shutting down production of 50-seat jets in the face of empty order books and changing economics. What are the options for operators with low-volume routes to serve and aging fleets to replace? A solution is necessary, and the industry must work together to find it.
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Growth Airline Economic Analysis
By Bob Hazel, Aaron Taylor, Andrew Watterson January 15, 2010
Three changes impacting growth airlines stand out. First, the CASM gap between Value and Network carriers is narrowing. Second, CASM ex-fuel is increasing. Finally, cost leadership amongst value carriers is changing.
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Aviation Trends - How Will U.S. Airports Be Impacted?
By Bob Hazel April 25, 2009
Different Measures of Success for Airlines and Airports, Market Trends, The New Risk Profile & When Will Traffic Return?
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The Component Inventory Pooling Solution to Tap New Sources of Cash
By Chris Spafford, Tim Hoyland and Robert Cords April 15, 2009
As North American airlines struggle to boost liquidity, one promising souce of cash is tapping the component pool, either through an inventory sale-leaseback or through rotable/repairable pooling. European carriers have a broader experience in component pooling, from which North American carriers can learn and create substantial value.
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Growth Airline Economic Analysis
By Bob Hazel, Max Kownatzki, Aaron Taylor, Andrew Watterson January 20, 2009
In the current economic environment, there is little growth even among growth airlines. However, those airlines still have different costs and other characteristics than traditional network carriers.
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In Airframe Maintenance, Building Real Partnerships Will Benefit Both Airlines and Suppliers
By Chris Spafford, Tim Hoyland and Brian Prentice April 15, 2009
Maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) suppliers have been squeezed to unsustainably low levels of profitability. In the long run, that hurts everyone, including airlines. Part of the problem is the dominant outsourcing model of aggressive, price-focused contracts. A shift to true partnerships will lead to renewed investment and a focus on improving performance, not just cutting costs.
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Managing Component Maintenance Costs to Create Value
By Tim Hoyland and Roger Lehman March 17, 2008
Component maintenance can account for up to one-fifth of total maintenance costs for an airline, yet many airlines still purchase component repair services inefficiently on a part-by-part basis. This white paper details a more effictive approach for airline executives, one that leverages supplier capabilites and thereby reduces costs and risk while also improving performance and reliability.
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Plugging The Leaks
By Blair Pomeroy and Scot Hornick February 01, 2009
The current economic slump has motivated airlines to reach for their cost-cuting knives. But what about the stream of revenue leaking from their Revenue Pipelines?
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Aviation MRO: The Next Place to Land for Private Equity Investors
By Chris Spafford, Roger Lehman and Tim Hoyland January 17, 2008
Private equity investors are showing strong interest in the aviation maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) market. But before the deals get sealed, both sides should be more systematic in mapping out strategies for success. This commentary discusses four specific strategies private equity investors may leverage in this industry.
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